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October core CPI market opens tight: above 0.2% is the main line at 41c on $268K traded Kalshi prices above 0.1% at 81c and above 0.3% at 18c around the 41c main line for the October print.

October core CPI thresholds

The October core CPI market opened with the above 0.2% contract as its central threshold, priced at 41c on $268K traded, according to the supplied market summary.

Kalshi priced above 0.1% at 81c and above 0.3% at 18c. Those contracts bracket the 41c main line for the October print.

The pricing puts the lower threshold well ahead of the other two outcomes. The above 0.2% contract sits below the price midpoint, while above 0.3% carries the lowest price of the three.

The briefing is dated Oct 14, 2026 · 6:09 PM ET. The supplied defirate.com excerpt concerns an unrelated sporting event, so it does not independently substantiate the CPI prices or trading volume.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The wording matters: These contracts concern readings above each threshold, not readings equal to them.
  • The thresholds overlap: An October core CPI result above 0.3% would also exceed 0.2% and 0.1%; these are not mutually exclusive outcomes.
  • The snapshot has limits: The summary provides prices and $268K traded, but no price history or order-book detail to establish momentum or liquidity.
CPIKalshiPredictionMarkets

Sources & attribution

  1. [1]Defirate (defirate.com)https://defirate.com/odds/

Date & time:

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