Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028 priced at 29.5% on Polymarket, down 4 points, on $637K traded
PredictionBubbles' movers board lists the Indiana moratorium contract among its downward political moves, in a political category distinct from the lead. It has not…
Polymarket traders priced the prospect of Indiana enacting a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028 at 29.5%, down 4 probability points over 24 hours, with $637K traded. According to PredictionBubbles, the contract appeared among the political markets moving lower on its movers board.
A lower price, without an identified catalyst
The figures accompanied an update published Oct 22, 2026 at 6:24 PM ET. The supplied PredictionBubbles page identifies its venue-price snapshot as 22 Oct 2026, 22:06 UTC and says it refreshes every 15 minutes using prices from Polymarket and Kalshi.
The material does not identify an Indiana legislative development, official announcement or other event behind the decline. It establishes a change in market pricing, not a reported change in the state’s policy position.
How the board measures movement
According to PredictionBubbles, its rankings compare absolute probability-point changes over 24 hours, rather than relative percentage changes. Volume and liquidity provide context but do not determine a market’s position in those rankings.
The board covers 1,992 markets with durations longer than 14 days and excludes markets without a valid 24-hour comparison. Its broader table displays the top 150 of 457 markets moving at least one probability point. Indiana’s inclusion among declining political contracts therefore signals a measurable repricing, rather than evidence by itself of why traders changed their assessment.
What it means for prediction markets
- The direction is clear: The 29.5% price reflects a lower market-implied likelihood of enactment by December 31, 2028 after a 4-point decline.
- The catalyst is not: The supplied reporting does not connect the move to a specific policy development.
- Volume is context, not an explanation: The reported $637K traded does not establish how much trading drove the latest decline or how deep the market was.
- The deadline matters: The contract concerns enactment by a specified date, not merely debate or consideration of a moratorium.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/movers/
Date & time:
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