Houston win the Pro Football AFC Championship priced at 1.0% on Kalshi, down 5.0 points, on $1.2M traded
PredictionBubbles' movers board lists the Houston conference contract among its downward sports moves, in a sports markets category distinct from the lead. It has zero…
Full attribution under the DMCA, 17 U.S.C. § 512: an original Infiniti Intelligence report summarizing and linking to the publishers named above. All rights in the underlying reporting remain with them. Rights holders may request correction or removal via the contact address at infiniti.w3ai.io.
Houston’s contract to win the Pro Football AFC Championship on Kalshi was priced at 1.0%, down 5.0 probability points over 24 hours, with $1.2M traded. According to PredictionBubbles’ movers board, the contract appeared among declining sports markets.
The figures accompanied an update published Oct 26, 2026 · 6:24 AM ET. The supplied material does not identify a specific event behind Houston’s repricing or establish the period covered by the $1.2M trading figure.
How the move is measured
PredictionBubbles ranks changes in probability points rather than relative percentages. Houston’s 5.0-point decline therefore describes the change in its market-implied chance of winning the conference, not a 5.0% relative fall.
According to predictionbubbles.net, the board draws prices from Polymarket and Kalshi every 15 minutes. The supplied snapshot was read from the venues on 26 Oct 2026, 09:40 UTC, using a 24-hour comparison window.
Scope of the rankings
The board covers 2,023 markets lasting longer than 14 days and excludes same-week fixtures. Only open contracts with a valid day-earlier comparison qualify; its main table displays the top 150 of 535 markets that moved at least one probability point.
Trading volume and liquidity provide context but do not affect the movement ranking, according to PredictionBubbles. Houston’s listing consequently documents a price decline, rather than establishing its cause or showing how much liquidity was available at the displayed price.
What it means for prediction markets
A low price, not a settled outcome: The 1.0% reading reflects the contract’s market-implied probability at the reported snapshot.
Movement and activity are separate: The 5.0-point decline measures repricing; the $1.2M traded figure does not, by itself, establish market depth.
The catalyst remains unreported: The supplied material offers no explanation for the decline, limiting conclusions about what drove traders’ reassessment.