Green Bay win the Pro Football NFC North Division priced at 14.0% on Kalshi, up 4 points, on $823K traded
PredictionBubbles' movers board lists the Green Bay divisional contract among its upward sports moves, in a sports markets category distinct from the lead — it has not…
Green Bay contract moves higher
Green Bay’s Kalshi contract to win the Pro Football NFC North Division was priced at 14.0%, up 4 probability points, with $823K traded, in the update published Oct 19, 2026 · 5:24 PM ET.
According to PredictionBubbles, the divisional contract appeared among the upward moves in its sports category. That placement identifies a rise in the market’s implied probability, rather than establishing Green Bay as the board’s largest mover.
Reading the snapshot
PredictionBubbles measures changes over 24 hours and refreshes its movers board every 15 minutes using prices from Polymarket and Kalshi. The supplied board snapshot recorded venue data as of 19 Oct 2026, 21:15 UTC.
The board’s comparison covered 2,029 markets lasting longer than 14 days. It excludes same-week fixtures and requires open contracts to have a valid 24-hour price comparison, limiting the influence of short-lived markets moving toward settlement.
According to PredictionBubbles, rankings depend on the size of the probability-point change, not trading volume or liquidity. The $823K traded figure therefore provides context for Green Bay’s move but does not determine its position on the board; the supplied material does not establish the period covered by that figure.
No specific catalyst for the Green Bay repricing is identified in the supplied reporting. The price change alone does not show whether traders were responding to new information, order flow or a different interpretation of existing information.
What it means for prediction markets
- The change is in points: Green Bay rose 4 probability points to 14.0%, not 4% in relative terms.
- Volume and movement answer different questions: $823K traded adds activity context, but does not by itself establish market depth or explain the move.
- The reading is time-specific: With the board refreshed every 15 minutes, the reported probability represents a snapshot rather than a fixed assessment.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/movers/
Date & time:
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