Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2026 meeting priced at 26.0% on Kalshi, up 6.0 points, on $763K traded

December Fed contract moves higher

Kalshi’s contract on a 0bps Federal Reserve rate move at its December 2026 meeting was priced at 26.0%, up 6.0 percentage points over 24 hours, with $763K traded, as reported in the Oct 30, 2026, 11:24 AM ET update.

The contract concerns an unchanged rate outcome, despite using “Hike” in its wording. According to predictionbubbles.net, the question was the largest mover highlighted in its finance category.

A repricing without an identified catalyst

The accompanying summary identified no significant new platform headline in the preceding 30 minutes. It said the news search had resurfaced material already used or excluded that day, leaving the supplied reporting without an identified fresh catalyst for the Fed contract’s move.

According to predictionbubbles.net, the underlying venue-price snapshot was taken on 30 Oct 2026 at 15:12 UTC. Its rankings cover Polymarket and Kalshi, refresh every 15 minutes and measure changes over a 24-hour window.

The tracker ranks markets by the absolute size of their probability-point moves, rather than by trading volume. The $763K traded provides context for the repricing, but the supplied material does not establish order-book depth or explain which trades drove the shift.

What it means for prediction markets

• An unchanged-rate outcome gained ground: The 6.0-point increase brought the contract to 26.0%; it is a percentage-point change, not a 6.0% relative gain.
• The catalyst remains unclear: The supplied reporting does not link the move to a new Federal Reserve announcement or economic release.
• Volume and liquidity are distinct: The $763K traded does not, by itself, establish how much liquidity was available at quoted prices.
• The price is a market estimate: The move records a change in traders’ pricing, not confirmation of the Federal Reserve’s December 2026 decision.