April 2027 Fed rate contract falls to 2 cents in archive
PicksByOdds, in its October 31 daily board, calls the contract the biggest move over its 164-day archive, with the Yes side down 71.0 percentage points to 2 cents on 5,602 dollars in volume. The board lists the contract in its economy category.
A contract asking whether the federal funds rate will be above 4.50 percent after the April 28, 2027 Fed meeting stood at 2 cents for Yes, according to PicksByOdds’ October 31 daily board.
The board recorded a decline of 71.0 percentage points for the Yes side over its 164-day archive. PicksByOdds identified the contract as the largest move across that archive.
What the board shows
PicksByOdds listed $5,602 in volume for the contract and placed it in its economy category. The supplied summary was published on Oct 31, 2026, at 11:15 AM ET.
The reported decline covers the archive period, rather than a single trading day. The summary does not provide a reason for the repricing or a detailed path of price changes.
What it means for prediction markets
- The 2-cent Yes price shows how low the contract was priced on the October 31 board; it does not establish what the Fed will decide.
- The 71.0-percentage-point decline is an archive-wide comparison over 164 days, not a reported daily move.
- The threshold and timing are specific: a federal funds rate above 4.50 percent after the April 28, 2027 meeting.
- The listed $5,602 in volume provides context, but the summary offers no information about liquidity or the number of participants.
Sources & attribution
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- PicksByOdds
- Publisher
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