Democrats win the Senate race in South Carolina — Annie Andrews priced at 22.0% on Kalshi, up 3 points, on $3.1M traded
PredictionBubbles' movers board lists the Andrews contract among its upward political moves, in a political/election category distinct from the lead. This contract has…
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Annie Andrews’ Kalshi contract for a Democratic win in the South Carolina Senate race was priced at 22.0%, up 3 probability points, with $3.1M traded, in the supplied Oct 23, 2026 · 6:24 PM ET update. The figures describe an election-market price, not a declared Democratic victory.
According to PredictionBubbles, its movers board places the Andrews contract among rising political markets. The supplied summary identifies it as a political/election listing separate from the board’s lead item.
How the move is measured
PredictionBubbles ranks changes over 24 hours, using probability-point movements rather than relative percentage gains. Its board draws prices from Kalshi and Polymarket and updates every 15 minutes; the supplied page records a venue-data snapshot of 23 Oct 2026, 22:14 UTC.
The board’s ranking covers 1,985 markets lasting longer than 14 days, according to PredictionBubbles. Only open contracts with a valid day-earlier comparison qualify, and trading volume does not determine their position.
What the available data establishes
The Andrews figures show an upward repricing, while the 22.0% level still puts a Democratic win below an even chance in market-implied terms. The supplied material does not identify a poll, campaign development or other event responsible for the change.
The $3.1M traded provides activity context, but the supplied Andrews details do not specify its measurement period or give order-book depth. It therefore cannot establish how much trading directly accompanied the 24-hour move.
What it means for prediction markets
Direction and level differ: Andrews gained 3 probability points, but the contract remained priced at 22.0%.
Volume is not liquidity: The $3.1M figure does not, by itself, show how easily traders could transact at the displayed price.
The catalyst remains unspecified: The board documents a price change; the supplied reporting does not explain its cause.
This is a snapshot, not a result: Neither the upward move nor the contract’s wording establishes that Democrats won the race.