Democratics win the Senate race in South Carolina — Annie Andrews priced at 24.0% on Kalshi, up 4.0 points, on $3.7M traded
PredictionBubbles' movers board lists the Andrews South Carolina Senate contract among its upward political moves, in a political/election category distinct from the…
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Annie Andrews’ South Carolina Senate contract on Kalshi was priced at 24.0%, up 4.0 probability points, with $3.7M traded, in the supplied Oct 27, 2026 · 10:39 AM ET update. The figures describe pricing on a Democratic victory, not a confirmed election result.
According to PredictionBubbles, its movers board placed the Andrews contract among rising political markets. The supplied material does not identify a news event, poll or other catalyst behind the change.
How the move is measured
PredictionBubbles ranks contracts by the size of their probability-point changes over 24 hours, rather than their relative percentage gains. Its board draws prices from Kalshi and Polymarket and updates every 15 minutes; the source snapshot records venue data read on 27 Oct 2026, 14:04 UTC.
The ranking covers 2,012 markets with lifespans longer than 14 days and excludes same-week fixtures. Only open contracts with a valid 24-hour comparison qualify, according to PredictionBubbles, limiting comparisons with newly opened or already resolved markets.
Volume provides context, not an explanation
The $3.7M traded figure accompanies the Andrews price move, but the supplied update does not specify its measurement period. It should therefore not be treated as the amount traded during the 24-hour repricing window.
PredictionBubbles says volume and liquidity provide context without affecting a contract’s movement ranking. The supplied material offers no contract-specific order-book detail or explanation of the Andrews buying, leaving the cause of the repricing unresolved.
What it means for prediction markets
A higher price is not an election call. The 24.0% reading reflects market-implied probability, not evidence that Andrews has won.
The change is 4.0 probability points, not a 4.0% relative increase. That is the measure used to compare moves on the board.
Turnover and liquidity are different signals. The $3.7M figure alone does not establish how much trading drove this move or how deep the market was.
The reading is time-specific. PredictionBubbles refreshes every 15 minutes, so the reported price represents a snapshot rather than a fixed assessment.