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David Goffin wins priced at 11.0% on Kalshi, down 25 points, on $734K traded

No significant new platform headline in the last 30 minutes; news search recirculated only items already carried, struck or taken by website-only items, including the…

The Kalshi market for a David Goffin win was priced at 11.0%, down 25 percentage points, with $734K traded, according to the supplied market headline published Oct 21, 2026, at 2:24 PM ET. The figures show a substantial downward repricing, but the accompanying material does not identify a match, opponent or settlement deadline.

A sharp move without an identified catalyst

The supplied news summary reported no significant new platform headline in the preceding 30 minutes. Its search surfaced previously carried material rather than a fresh development that explained the price change. That leaves the immediate catalyst unconfirmed; it does not establish that no relevant news occurred.

According to predictionbubbles.net, its movers board compares market-implied probabilities over 24 hours and updates every 15 minutes using prices from Polymarket and Kalshi. The provided page records a venue-data snapshot taken on 21 Oct 2026 at 18:14 UTC.

What the data establishes

Predictionbubbles.net ranks moves by their absolute size in probability points, not by relative percentage changes. Under that convention, the reported decline is 25 percentage points, rather than a 25% reduction. Trading volume provides separate context and does not determine a market’s position in the ranking.

The supplied page describes the scanner’s methodology but does not contain a Goffin-specific listing. Consequently, the 11.0% price and $734K volume are supported by the supplied headline, while the underlying contract terms, order-book depth and precise volume window remain unspecified.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Price is not a result: The 11.0% reading reflects the market’s pricing of a Goffin win, not confirmation of the sporting outcome.
  • Volume and liquidity are different: The $734K traded figure does not establish how much liquidity was available when the price moved.
  • The explanation remains open: Without a confirmed catalyst or the contract’s settlement terms, the material supports reporting a repricing—not attributing it to a particular event.
PredictionMarketsKalshiPolymarketNFL

Sources & attribution

  1. [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/movers/

Date & time:

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