Corentin Moutet wins priced at 94.0% on Kalshi, up 28 points, on $1.1M traded

Corentin Moutet’s win contract on Kalshi was priced at 94.0%, up 28 probability points over 24 hours, with $1.1M traded, according to PredictionBubbles’ movers listing. The contract ranked as the board’s second-largest upward move.

The figures accompanied an update published on Oct 21, 2026 at 1:54 PM ET. PredictionBubbles said its underlying venue-price snapshot was taken on 21 Oct 2026 at 17:44 UTC, with the board refreshed every 15 minutes.

A sharp move, with limited event context

The Moutet contract sits in the sports category. The supplied material does not identify his opponent, the competition, the contract’s settlement terms or a catalyst for the repricing. It therefore establishes a substantial change in market pricing, but not what prompted it.

The $1.1M trading figure provides context alongside the price move. It does not, by itself, establish available liquidity or explain whether the shift reflected new information or trading dynamics.

How the ranking works

According to PredictionBubbles, the board compares markets from Polymarket and Kalshi using their 24-hour changes in implied probability. Rankings depend on probability-point movement rather than relative percentage gains; neither trading volume nor liquidity changes a market’s position.

The stated ranking universe covers 1,979 markets lasting longer than 14 days and excludes same-week fixtures. Markets must also remain open and have a valid 24-hour comparison. Those filters make the second-place upward ranking a comparison within the board’s eligible universe, rather than across every contract on either venue.

What it means for prediction markets

• The move is 28 probability points, not a 28% relative gain. That distinction is central to interpreting the size of the repricing.
• 94.0% is a market-implied probability, not a confirmed result. The supplied material does not establish that Moutet has won.
• Volume and movement answer different questions. The $1.1M traded adds activity context, while the ranking measures only the change in pricing.
• Event details remain essential context. Without the opponent, settlement terms or a reported catalyst, the reason for the move cannot be determined from this listing alone.