Corentin Moutet wins priced at 18.0% on Kalshi, down 11 points, on $1.1M traded

Corentin Moutet’s win contract on Kalshi was priced at 18.0%, down 11 probability points, with $1.1M traded, in the supplied Oct 20, 2026 · 11:24 AM ET snapshot. According to PredictionBubbles, the match contract appeared among the largest downward moves in its sports category.

How the move is measured

PredictionBubbles ranks changes over 24 hours using probability points rather than relative percentage changes. The 11-point decline therefore describes a shift in the contract’s implied probability—not an 11% relative fall. Trading volume provides context but does not determine the ranking.

The board draws prices from Polymarket and Kalshi and refreshes every 15 minutes, according to PredictionBubbles. The supplied page records a venue-data timestamp of 20 Oct 2026, 15:12 UTC. Its methodology excludes resolved contracts and those without a valid 24-hour comparison.

What the snapshot leaves unresolved

The supplied material does not identify Moutet’s opponent, the match date, a catalyst for the decline or the contract’s settlement terms. Nor does it specify the period covered by the reported $1.1M in trading. The figures establish a downward repricing, but do not explain what prompted it.

What it means for prediction markets

• Price is not a result: The 18.0% reading reflects the market’s implied probability at the snapshot, not a confirmed match outcome.
• Volume and liquidity are different: The $1.1M traded figure adds activity context, but the material provides no order-book depth with which to assess liquidity.
• The ranking has a limited purpose: PredictionBubbles sorts moves by their size in probability points, not by trading volume or the strength of the evidence behind them.