Chicago win the Pro Football NFC Championship priced at 13.0% on Kalshi, up 3 points, on $1.1M traded
PredictionBubbles' movers board lists the Chicago NFC Championship contract among its upward sports moves, in a sports markets category distinct from the lead. This…
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Chicago’s contract to win the Pro Football NFC Championship was priced at 13.0% on Kalshi, up 3 probability points, with $1.1M traded, in the supplied update published Oct 23, 2026, at 5:24 AM ET. According to PredictionBubbles’ movers board, the contract appeared among rising sports markets, rather than as the board’s overall lead.
A 24-hour repricing
PredictionBubbles measures moves over 24 hours using probability-point changes, not relative percentage gains. Chicago’s increase therefore represents a 3-point shift in the market’s assessment, rather than a 3% relative rise.
The board draws prices from Kalshi and Polymarket and updates every 15 minutes. The supplied source records a venue-data snapshot of 23 Oct 2026, 09:15 UTC. It does not identify a team development or other specific catalyst for Chicago’s move.
What the ranking captures
According to PredictionBubbles, the ranking covers 2,039 markets with lifespans longer than 14 days, excluding same-week fixtures. Only open contracts with a valid 24-hour comparison qualify; the displayed table includes the top 150 of 479 markets that moved at least one probability point.
Rankings depend on the size of the probability change, not trading volume or liquidity. The $1.1M traded figure provides context for Chicago’s repricing, but the supplied material does not establish that contract’s order-book depth or explain what drove the buying.
What it means for prediction markets
Price and direction are separate signals: Chicago’s implied probability rose to 13.0%, but the upward move does not establish that the outcome will occur.
Volume does not determine placement: The $1.1M traded figure accompanies the contract; its 3-point change is the relevant measure for the movers ranking.
The catalyst remains unverified: The supplied reporting documents a price change, not a confirmed football-related explanation.
The board is a filtered snapshot: Its eligibility rules exclude short-lived fixtures and contracts without a full-day comparison, limiting what its rankings say about the wider sports market.