Chicago win the 2027 Pro Football Championship priced at 5% on Kalshi, up 2 points, on $9.6M traded
Quiet quarter-hour — no significant new platform headline in the last 15 minutes, so this fresh contract leads, in a sports markets category different from the previous…
Chicago’s chance of winning the 2027 Pro Football Championship was priced at 5% on Kalshi, up 2 percentage points, with $9.6M traded, according to the supplied market snapshot published Oct 16, 2026 · 10:24 PM ET.
The contract led the update during a quiet news interval: the accompanying summary reported no significant new platform headline in the preceding 15 minutes. The supplied material does not identify a specific catalyst for Chicago’s price increase.
Reading the move
According to predictionbubbles.net, its sports-market tracker reports probability changes over the last 24 hours. Prices represent probabilities implied by exchange trading, rather than odds established by a bookmaker.
The increase leaves Chicago priced as a low-probability championship winner despite the upward adjustment. The $9.6M figure represents total traded volume—not money newly traded during the price move or the latest 15-minute interval.
The wider sports board
According to predictionbubbles.net, the tracker covers 567 open sports markets: 244 on Kalshi and 323 on Polymarket. Its data refreshes every 15 minutes, although trading on the underlying venues continues between updates.
The site separates rankings by probability movement from rankings by total volume. At its last refresh, the largest sports contract by traded volume concerned whether Shakhtar Donetsk would win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship, with $31.4M traded on Polymarket.
What it means for prediction markets
- Price and conviction are different measures: Chicago’s 5% reading is a market-implied probability, not an independently established forecast.
- Volume does not explain the move: The $9.6M total provides activity context but does not establish what caused the 2-percentage-point increase.
- Timing matters: A tracker refreshed every 15 minutes may not reflect subsequent exchange trades.
- Cross-venue comparisons require care: According to predictionbubbles.net, related Kalshi and Polymarket contracts can have different wording and resolution rules.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/sports/
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