Buffalo wins priced at 82% on Kalshi, up 13 points, on $1.0M traded
PredictionBubbles' movers board ranks the Buffalo win contract among the day's largest upward moves, in a sports markets category distinct from the lead — a contract…
The Buffalo win contract on Kalshi was priced at 82%, up 13 probability points, with $1.0M traded, according to the supplied market update published Oct 17, 2026, at 5:09 PM ET. PredictionBubbles’ movers board placed it among the day’s largest upward shifts.
The move puts Buffalo in the board’s sports category. The supplied material does not identify the opponent, the event date or the contract’s settlement conditions, and offers no explanation for the repricing.
How the move is measured
According to PredictionBubbles, its rankings compare market-implied probabilities over 24 hours, using prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The supplied board snapshot records venue data read on 17 Oct 2026, 20:41 UTC; the page refreshes every 15 minutes.
The ranking measures changes in probability points rather than relative percentages. Buffalo’s increase is therefore a 13-point move, not a 13% rise. Trading volume provides context but does not affect a contract’s position in the ranking.
The board’s limits
PredictionBubbles says the board covers 1,995 markets lasting longer than 14 days and excludes same-week fixtures to avoid having rapid settlement-driven moves dominate the results. Only open contracts with a valid 24-hour comparison qualify. Its displayed table contains the top 150 of 389 markets moving at least one probability point.
The supplied source text explains that methodology but does not include Buffalo’s individual market card. The 82% price, 13-point increase and $1.0M traded figure come from the supplied headline, limiting what can be established about the contract beyond those figures.
What it means for prediction markets
- A substantial repricing, not a result: The 82% reading reflects the contract’s market-implied probability, not confirmation that Buffalo will win.
- Volume and depth are different: The $1.0M traded figure adds activity context, but the supplied material does not establish order-book depth.
- Contract details remain essential: Without the event identity, settlement terms or a reported catalyst, the move alone cannot explain why traders changed their pricing.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/movers/
Date & time:
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