Brock Purdy takes over as NFL MVP favourite at 28-30%

Purdy leads on both venues

Brock Purdy has moved to the front of the NFL MVP markets on Polymarket and Kalshi with San Francisco at 5-0, according to Action Network. Both venues put him ahead of Josh Allen.

The snapshot published Oct 12, 2026, at 12:54 PM ET lists Purdy at 28% on Polymarket, with a price of 28.4c. Kalshi assigns him 30%, at 30c.

Allen is priced at 20-21% across the two venues. Those figures leave a clear gap behind Purdy, although the supplied summary does not identify which venue carries each Allen probability.

The markets agree on the leader, but neither prices a Purdy MVP win as more likely than not. His position is that of a favourite in an unsettled race, rather than an overwhelming choice.

What it means for prediction markets

• Agreement on the frontrunner: Polymarket and Kalshi both rank Purdy first, despite a modest difference in their prices.
• Allen remains a challenger: His 20-21% range places him below Purdy’s 28-30%, but still within reach in probability terms.
• A limited snapshot: The supplied material does not give earlier prices or trading volumes, so it does not establish the size or speed of Purdy’s move into first place.