Boston wins priced at 82.0% on Kalshi
Up 30 points on $2.5M traded, the day's second-biggest repricing on the movers board.
Boston’s win contract on Kalshi reached an implied probability of 82.0%, rising 30 probability points over 24 hours, with $2.5M traded. According to PredictionBubbles’ movers board, it was the day’s second-largest repricing among the markets tracked.
The contract sits in the sports category, separate from the category of the board’s leading mover. The supplied material does not identify Boston’s opponent, the competition or the event behind the price change.
How the move is measured
PredictionBubbles ranks contracts by the absolute size of their 24-hour probability-point change, rather than their relative percentage gain. Boston’s 30-point increase therefore describes a shift in the market’s implied likelihood—not a 30% relative rise.
The board’s snapshot was read from the venues on 20 Oct 2026, 20:45 UTC. According to PredictionBubbles, its data refreshes every 15 minutes and covers Polymarket and Kalshi.
Scope and limits
The ranking spans 1,974 markets lasting longer than 14 days and excludes same-week fixtures. Only open contracts with a valid 24-hour comparison qualify; resolved contracts and those too new to have a day-old baseline are omitted.
Trading volume provides context but does not affect a contract’s ranking. The $2.5M traded figure accompanies Boston’s repricing, but the supplied information does not establish market depth or explain what drove the move.
What it means for prediction markets
- A substantial change in pricing: The 82.0% reading captures traders’ current implied probability, not a confirmed outcome.
- A bounded ranking: Second place refers to PredictionBubbles’ eligible market universe, not every contract available on Kalshi and Polymarket.
- Volume and liquidity are distinct: The $2.5M traded figure does not, by itself, establish how readily orders could be executed without moving the price.
- Event details remain missing: Without the specific competition or contract terms, the repricing cannot be tied to a particular sporting development from the supplied material.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/movers/
Date & time:
Full attribution under the DMCA, 17 U.S.C. § 512: an original Infiniti Intelligence report summarizing and linking to the publishers named above. All rights in the underlying reporting remain with them. Rights holders may request correction or removal via the contact address at infiniti.w3ai.io.
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