Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026 priced at 8.1% on Polymarket, down 3.4 points, on $166K traded

Apple contract loses ground

Polymarket’s contract on whether Apple will be the world’s largest company by market capitalization on October 31, 2026 was priced at 8.1%, down 3.4 probability points, with $166K traded, according to PredictionBubbles’ movers listing.

The contract appeared among the board’s declining finance markets. The figures accompanied an update published Oct 21, 2026 · 8:24 PM ET; the supplied board snapshot records venue data read on 22 Oct 2026, 00:04 UTC.

What the move captures

According to PredictionBubbles, the board measures changes over 24 hours and refreshes every 15 minutes using prices from Polymarket and Kalshi. Rankings reflect the size of probability-point changes, rather than relative percentage changes, with trading volume providing context rather than determining position.

The supplied material does not identify a company announcement, valuation change or other catalyst for Apple’s repricing. It also does not provide competing companies’ market capitalizations or the contract’s detailed settlement rules. The decline therefore establishes a change in traders’ pricing, not an explanation for it.

What it means for prediction markets

• The deadline is specific: the contract concerns Apple’s market-cap ranking on October 31, 2026, rather than its longer-term prospects.
• The decline is in points: the 3.4-point move should not be read as a 3.4% relative decrease.
• Volume is not liquidity: the reported $166K traded offers activity context, but the supplied material does not establish order-book depth or how much trading drove the move.