Anna Bondar wins priced at 30.0% on Kalshi, down 23.0 points, on $806K traded
PredictionBubbles' movers board, on the same Oct. 29, 12:12 UTC crawl, and its sports board, page crawled Oct. 29, 12:10 UTC at 497 open markets with $744.3M traded,…
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Anna Bondar’s win contract on Kalshi was priced at a 30.0% market-implied probability, down 23.0 percentage points, with $806K traded, according to the supplied PredictionBubbles market snapshot published Oct. 29, 2026, at 8:09 AM ET.
A sharp move, with limited context
PredictionBubbles ranks its movers by absolute probability changes over the preceding 24 hours. The reported decline therefore represents a substantial repricing of Bondar’s chances, rather than a ranking based on trading volume. The supplied material does not identify her opponent, the event or a reason for the move.
The summary references a movers-board crawl on Oct. 29 at 12:12 UTC and a sports-board crawl at 12:10 UTC. The latter recorded 497 open markets and $744.3M traded. Those figures describe the broader sports board, not the Bondar contract alone.
Board snapshots differ
The supplied sports-page text separately lists 493 open markets: 199 on Kalshi and 294 on Polymarket. That differs from the summary’s 497-market snapshot. According to PredictionBubbles, its data refreshes every 15 minutes, while exchange trading continues between updates; the supplied material does not reconcile the counts.
PredictionBubbles displays exchange-published prices rather than setting odds or accepting wagers. Its volume figures represent total reported trading, while the probability-change column measures movement over 24 hours. Neither measure, on its own, establishes what prompted Bondar’s repricing.
What it means for prediction markets
Price is not a result: The 30.0% reading reflects traders’ pricing of the Bondar win outcome at the snapshot, not a confirmed sporting outcome.
Volume and movement measure different things: The $806K is reported traded volume; it should not be read as the amount traded during the 23.0-point decline.
Timing and contract details matter: The board refresh interval means displayed prices can lag trading. Without the event, opponent and resolution terms, the supplied material supports analysis of the price move—not its cause.