Andrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election priced at 38.5% on Polymarket, up 19.5 points, on $1.0M traded
PredictionBubbles' movers board, fresh on its Oct. 30, 22:57 UTC crawl with data read at Oct. 30, 22:04 UTC at 1,991 markets ranked with 524 moving at least 1 point in…
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Andrey Gyurov’s price to win the next Bulgarian presidential election reached 38.5% on Polymarket, rising 19.5 probability points over 24 hours, according to the supplied Oct. 30, 2026 market headline. The headline reported $1.0M traded, but did not specify the period covered by that volume.
The increase marks a substantial change in traders’ assessment, although the price remains below 50%. The supplied material does not identify an election development, poll or announcement behind the move.
Reading the market snapshot
According to PredictionBubbles, its movers board compares prices on Polymarket and Kalshi over 24 hours and updates every 15 minutes. Rankings reflect the size of the probability-point change in either direction, rather than relative percentage gains or trading volume.
The supplied snapshots differ. The summary describes an Oct. 30, 22:57 UTC crawl, using data read at Oct. 30, 22:04 UTC, with 1,991 markets ranked and 524 moving at least 1 point. The source-page extract instead gives a venue-data timestamp of 30 Oct 2026, 22:34 UTC, with 1,997 markets covered and 530 moving at least one probability point; its table displays the top 150.
What the figures establish—and leave open
PredictionBubbles says the board covers markets lasting longer than 14 days and excludes same-week fixtures. Only open markets with a usable 24-hour price comparison qualify. Those filters matter: the rankings are not a comprehensive list of every contract trading on either venue.
The supplied page extract explains the methodology but does not display Gyurov’s individual market entry. His 38.5% price, 19.5-point increase and $1.0M traded therefore come from the supplied headline, rather than an independently visible row in the extract. Neither order-book depth nor election-market settlement terms are provided.
What it means for prediction markets
The move is measured in points: the reported increase is 19.5 probability points, not a 19.5% relative gain.
Volume is context, not proof of liquidity: the $1.0M figure does not establish how much traded during the repricing or how readily additional orders could be filled.
The catalyst remains unverified: the material documents a price change, not an explanation for it or confirmation that Gyurov will win.
Timestamps matter: the differing board snapshots should not be treated as one simultaneous market reading.