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Alabama’s win contract on Kalshi was priced at 97.0%, up 13 probability points over 24 hours, with $2.3M traded, according to PredictionBubbles. Its movers and sports boards listed the contract among rising sports markets, with resolution expected in about a day.
A sharp move near resolution
The figures accompanied an update published Oct 24, 2026 · 7:24 PM ET. PredictionBubbles’ supplied movers page identified its venue-price snapshot as 24 Oct 2026, 23:14 UTC and said it refreshes its data every 15 minutes.
The increase measures a change in the market’s implied probability, not a relative percentage gain. The 97.0% price reflects traders’ strong preference for an Alabama win, but it does not establish the result.
What the listing leaves unanswered
The supplied material does not identify Alabama’s opponent, explain what prompted the repricing or provide the contract’s detailed settlement terms. It therefore offers no basis for attributing the rise to a particular sporting development.
There is also a distinction between the reported listing and the movers page’s stated screening rules. PredictionBubbles says its rankings cover 1,972 markets lasting longer than 14 days and exclude fixtures that open and settle within two days. A contract approaching resolution does not necessarily fall outside that screen, but Alabama’s opening date is not provided.
PredictionBubbles ranks moves by their size in probability points, without using volume or liquidity to adjust the order. The $2.3M traded is useful context for Alabama’s repricing, though the supplied material does not establish the available market depth.
What it means for prediction markets
Strong pricing is not a settled outcome: The 97.0% reading represents the market’s assessment ahead of resolution.
Timing limits interpretation: With about a day remaining, the 13-point rise cannot be separated from the approaching outcome without more event-level information.
Volume and liquidity are different: The $2.3M trading figure does not, by itself, show how readily additional orders could trade at the displayed price.