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Widest Polymarket-Kalshi gap is Republicans winning the 2028 election at 34.5 percent against 40.5 percent, PolymarketTrader reports
- Widest Polymarket-Kalshi gap is Republicans winning the 2028 election at 34.5 percent against 40.5 percent, PolymarketTrader reports — PolymarketTrader's side-by-side comparison matched 10 events and 54 outcomes across Polymarket and Kalshi, finding an average gap of 0.8 percentage points and the widest gap on which party wins the 2028 presidential election, with Republicans at 34.5 percent on Polymarket against 40.5 percent on Kalshi. The December Fed decision was closely aligned, with a 25 basis point hike at 70.5 percent on Polymarket and 69.5 percent on Kalshi. (PolymarketTrader)
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