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Widest Polymarket-Kalshi gap is 2028 Republican win at 34.5 percent against 40.5 percent, with average gap of 1 point across 54 outcomes, PolymarketTrader reports
- Widest Polymarket-Kalshi gap is 2028 Republican win at 34.5 percent against 40.5 percent, with average gap of 1 point across 54 outcomes, PolymarketTrader reports — PolymarketTrader matched 10 events listed on both Polymarket and Kalshi on October 29 and found an average price gap of 1.0 percentage point across 54 matched outcomes. The widest gap was on Republicans winning the 2028 presidential election, priced at 34.5 percent on Polymarket against 40.5 percent on Kalshi, while December Fed decision prices on the two exchanges were within half a point of each other. (PolymarketTrader)
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