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Widest Kalshi-Polymarket gap is 2028 party control, with Republicans at 34.5 percent on Polymarket and 40.5 percent on Kalshi, PolymarketTrader reports
- Widest Kalshi-Polymarket gap is 2028 party control, with Republicans at 34.5 percent on Polymarket and 40.5 percent on Kalshi, PolymarketTrader reports — Across 54 matched outcomes priced on both exchanges on October 31, the average gap was 0.8 percentage points. The two venues agreed exactly on 2026 House and Senate control, pricing Democrats at 93.5 percent for the House and 70.5 percent for the Senate on both. (PolymarketTrader)
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