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Vanderbilt study finds PredictIt most accurate at 93 percent, ahead of Kalshi at 78 percent and Polymarket at 67 percent, BitRss reports
- Vanderbilt study finds PredictIt most accurate at 93 percent, ahead of Kalshi at 78 percent and Polymarket at 67 percent, BitRss reports — Researchers Joshua Clinton and TzuFeng Huang at Vanderbilt University examined 2,500 markets with 2.5 billion dollars in volume across Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt, scoring accuracy by how closely market odds lined up with outcomes. PredictIt scored 93 percent, Kalshi 78 percent and Polymarket 67 percent, with the researchers noting that mutually exclusive contracts occasionally moved in the same direction at the same time. (BitRss)
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