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USA Today tests NFL 1.8 billion dollar prediction market claim and finds NFL share at 59 percent on opening Sunday, rising to 69 percent by October 11
- USA Today tests NFL 1.8 billion dollar prediction market claim and finds NFL share at 59 percent on opening Sunday, rising to 69 percent by October 11 — USA Today replicated the NFL's October 8 Supreme Court brief claim using Kalshi and Polymarket US trading data and found the figures roughly accurate, with NFL-related contracts at 59 percent of notional volume on the opening Sunday of September 13 and up to 69 percent by October 11. Combined notional volume on the two exchanges grew from 2.83 billion dollars on September 13 to 4.6 billion dollars on October 11, and Kalshi and Polymarket confirmed the findings were directionally accurate. (USA Today)
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