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University of Florida Election Lab blended model puts Democratic Senate control at 70.1 percent, below the market price, Election Lab reports
- University of Florida Election Lab blended model puts Democratic Senate control at 70.1 percent, below the market price, Election Lab reports — Election Lab reports its final blended forecast, built from 20,000 simulated elections, gives Democrats a 70.1 percent chance of Senate control, with prediction markets weighted at only 20 percent against polls at 35 percent, fundamentals at 25 percent and expert ratings at 20 percent. Its simulation centres on 52 Democratic Senate seats and 234 Democratic House seats. (Election Lab)
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