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United States insider-trading law reaches prediction markets as the CFTC treats event contracts as swaps and brings its first cases in 2026, Global Trading Outlook reports
- United States insider-trading law reaches prediction markets as the CFTC treats event contracts as swaps and brings its first cases in 2026, Global Trading Outlook reports — Global Trading Outlook reports the CFTC treats event contracts as swaps, so section 6(c)(1) of the Commodity Exchange Act and Rule 180.1 bar fraud and manipulation, and the agency brought its first cases in 2026, including an April complaint using the so-called Eddie Murphy Rule. The guide notes exchange rulebooks bar insiders and anyone who can influence an outcome from trading it, and Kalshi has disciplined candidates for betting on their own races. (Global Trading Outlook)
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