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UBS assigns 50 percent odds to a Democratic sweep of Congress, well below the 75 percent Polymarket prices, Market Flux reports
- UBS assigns 50 percent odds to a Democratic sweep of Congress, well below the 75 percent Polymarket prices, Market Flux reports — Market Flux reports Polymarket put the probability of a full Democratic sweep at 75 percent, a figure that rose to new highs throughout Election Day, with Democrats at 95 percent for the House and 77 percent for the Senate. UBS assigned only 50 percent odds to a sweep and warned such an outcome could complicate the fiscal agenda and 2027 debt-ceiling negotiations. (Market Flux)
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