Sunday's Board: Two Blowouts Priced In, One Coin Flip
Eleven NFL games trade tomorrow, and the market has already sorted them into certainties and arguments. Cincinnati is 86% over Tennessee and Jacksonville is 81% over Indianapolis, the two most one-sided prices on the Sunday board.
At the other end sits Kansas City at Denver, with Kansas City at just 52%. That is the game the money cannot call, and it is no accident it sits in the late window: the closest price of the day gets the biggest audience of the day.
Dallas is 74% over Arizona, Buffalo 62% over Baltimore, and Detroit 63% over Minnesota fill out the middle of the board, favorites the market believes but will happily sell you the other side of.
Sports traded $484 million across venues in the last 24 hours, up 2% day over day, with open interest at $614 million on Kalshi and Polymarket US. By kickoff tomorrow, most of that board will have moved. By Monday, every price on it will look obvious in hindsight.
Sources: DeFi Rate
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