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South Carolina Democrat Annie Andrews beats Republican Darline Graham, who had been favored at about 70 percent in market odds, in the first prediction market upset of the night, Reuters reports
- South Carolina Democrat Annie Andrews beats Republican Darline Graham, who had been favored at about 70 percent in market odds, in the first prediction market upset of the night, Reuters reports — Reuters, in a November 4 wrap of the midterm results, reports prediction markets largely got the big picture right as Democrats seized control of the Senate and the House, but the first upset of the night came in South Carolina, where Democrat Annie Andrews bested Republican Darline Graham, who had been favored to win with market odds of about 70 percent. Reuters also notes Kalshi said its own accuracy assessments showed it was more accurate than other leading forecasting models, and that Polymarket election forecasts were about 98 percent accurate, according to a person familiar with the matter. (Reuters)
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