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Simulating Kalshi Senate prices 10,000 times gives Democrats control in 62.8 percent of runs, with Ohio the pivotal race
- Simulating Kalshi Senate prices 10,000 times gives Democrats control in 62.8 percent of runs, with Ohio the pivotal race — PredictionMarketsPicks ran 10,000 simulations using Kalshi's Senate race prices as of October 18 at 2:52 AM ET, with Democrats and independents holding the Senate in 62.8 percent of outcomes and a median result of 52 to 48. Ohio moves control the most in the simulation, with Democratic control at 67.7 percent when the Democrat wins Ohio and 55.8 percent when the Republican wins it. (PredictionMarketsPicks)
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