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Sikt margin board puts Iowa to Republicans by 1.2 points against a market margin for the Democrat, and 230 House seats against a market mark of 241, Sikt Intelligence reports
- Sikt margin board puts Iowa to Republicans by 1.2 points against a market margin for the Democrat, and 230 House seats against a market mark of 241, Sikt Intelligence reports — Sikt Intelligence reports its round 13 middle estimates put Republican Ashley Hinson ahead by 1.2 points in Iowa while Kalshi margin markets put Democrat Josh Turek ahead by 0.3 points, with Alaska at Peltola by 1.0 point in its model against 2.6 points in the market. Its seat estimates sit below the markets on the House, at 230 Democratic seats against a market mark of 241, and a House popular vote lead of 8.2 points against 9.8 points in the market. (Sikt Intelligence)
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