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Senate simulation using Kalshi prices gives Democrats and independents control in 64.6 percent of 10,000 runs, with a median 52 to 48 result, PredictionMarketPicks reports
- Senate simulation using Kalshi prices gives Democrats and independents control in 64.6 percent of 10,000 runs, with a median 52 to 48 result, PredictionMarketPicks reports — PredictionMarketPicks, using Kalshi Senate race prices as of October 24 at 8:37 AM ET, ran the 2026 Senate election 10,000 times and found Democrats and independents holding the Senate in 64.6 percent of outcomes, close to the 67 cent balance-of-power market price. The median result was 52 to 48, and Texas was the race that moved control most. (PredictionMarketPicks)
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