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RuleGuard tool flags prediction markets that look identical but settle under different rules
- RuleGuard tool flags prediction markets that look identical but settle under different rules — A GitHub project called RuleGuard scanned 59,399 open markets across Kalshi, Polymarket, Limitless and Manifold and found 187 pairs that look identical. In a random cross-operator sample, rules fully matched in only 1 of 11 pairs, and among 341 settled Kalshi-Polymarket pairs since 2023, 7 paid out in opposite directions because of rule differences. (GitHub)
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