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Research finds retail prediction market traders enter about three days before resolution while bots enter eight days out

  • Research finds retail prediction market traders enter about three days before resolution while bots enter eight days out — Research by University of San Diego professor Josh Della Vedova found retail traders enter positions on average three days before a contract resolves, while bots enter more than eight days out, with about 70 percent of the algorithmic advantage coming from timing. The analysis also found more than 70 percent of Polymarket users lose money, while 0.1 percent of accounts captured 67 percent of profits. (AInvest)

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