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Prediction markets put Democrats at about 91 percent for the House against 79 percent in the Decision Desk HQ model, Action Network reports
- Prediction markets put Democrats at about 91 percent for the House against 79 percent in the Decision Desk HQ model, Action Network reports — Action Network compared market prices with polls and forecasters as of October 30: Polymarket US prices Democrats at 91 percent for House control and Kalshi at 90.6 percent, against 79 percent in Decision Desk HQ's model, while Senate control sits at 63 percent on Polymarket US and 64 percent on Kalshi against 57 percent in the model. In Iowa, traders give Republican Ashley Hinson a 59 percent chance despite a polling average lead of just 0.1 points. (Action Network)
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