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Prediction markets put Democrats 12 points ahead of Decision Desk HQ model on House control, Action Network reports
- Prediction markets put Democrats 12 points ahead of Decision Desk HQ model on House control, Action Network reports — As of October 29, prediction markets priced Democrats at 91 percent on Polymarket US and 90.6 percent on Kalshi to win the House, about 12 points above Decision Desk HQ's 79 percent model, Action Network reported. For the Senate, markets priced Democrats at 63 to 64 percent against the model's 57 percent, and in Iowa Polymarket US gave Ashley Hinson 59 percent despite a polling average lead of 0.1 points. (Action Network)
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