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Prediction markets price Democrats at about 90 percent for the House and 61 to 62 percent for the Senate
- Prediction markets price Democrats at about 90 percent for the House and 61 to 62 percent for the Senate — StateLine Daily's midterm comparison, updated October 16, puts Democrats at roughly 90 percent on both Kalshi and Polymarket to take the House and about 61 to 62 percent to control the Senate, with a full Democratic sweep priced above 60 percent. Kalshi's specific House-control market has drawn more than 7.1 million dollars in notional volume, while a split Congress is the second most likely balance-of-power outcome at about 31 to 37 cents. (StateLine Daily)
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