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Prediction markets price Democrats at 93 percent for the House on Polymarket US and 92 percent on Kalshi, well above the 80 percent forecast model, Action Network reports
- Prediction markets price Democrats at 93 percent for the House on Polymarket US and 92 percent on Kalshi, well above the 80 percent forecast model, Action Network reports — Action Network compared market prices with polls and forecasts on October 31, finding markets about 12 to 13 points more confident than Decision Desk HQ on House control. Senate control was closer, at 68 percent on both Polymarket US and Kalshi against 60 percent in the forecast model. (Action Network)
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