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Prediction markets price Democrats at 91 to 92 percent for the House and 68 to 69 percent for the Senate, ahead of polling forecasts on the Senate
- Prediction markets price Democrats at 91 to 92 percent for the House and 68 to 69 percent for the Senate, ahead of polling forecasts on the Senate — Action Network's October 23 comparison shows Polymarket US and Kalshi pricing Democrats at 91 to 92 percent to win the House and 68 to 69 percent for the Senate, broadly matching polling on the House but running ahead of forecast models on the Senate. Decision Desk HQ's Senate forecast, cited in parallel coverage, put Democrats at 56 percent on October 21, about ten points below the market price. (Action Network)
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