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Prediction markets price Democrats at 90 percent for House control and about 61 to 62 percent for Senate control, Action Network reports

  • Prediction markets price Democrats at 90 percent for House control and about 61 to 62 percent for Senate control, Action Network reports — As of October 19, Kalshi and Polymarket US both priced Democrats at 90 percent to win House control, while Senate control stood at 61 percent on Polymarket US and 62 percent on Kalshi, Action Network reported in a comparison with polls and forecasts. The comparison noted a divergence in Iowa, where polling narrowly favored Democrat Josh Turek but Polymarket US traders favored Republican Ashley Hinson at 61 percent. (Action Network)

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