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Prediction markets expand into FDA drug approvals with Lilly and Moderna contracts, Pharmaceutical Technology reports

  • Prediction markets expand into FDA drug approvals with Lilly and Moderna contracts, Pharmaceutical Technology reports — As of October 30, Kalshi offers odds on when the FDA will approve Eli Lilly's retatrutide and Polymarket offers odds on approval timing for Moderna's melanoma vaccine intismeran autogene, Pharmaceutical Technology reported. Commentators cited in the article raised insider trading risks for private biotechs as prediction markets expand into drug development outcomes. (Pharmaceutical Technology)

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