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Pooled Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt prices in working paper put Democrats near 240 House seats, Missouri Scout reports
- Pooled Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt prices in working paper put Democrats near 240 House seats, Missouri Scout reports — A new working paper pooled prices from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt for every 2026 congressional race, putting Democrats at about 240 House seats and roughly a 91 percent chance of controlling the chamber. The markets give Representative Ann Wagner a 75.5 percent chance in Missouri's 2nd District, even as a Public Policy Polling survey puts that race at a statistical tie. (Missouri Scout)
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