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Polymarket US recession market prices a 2026 recession at about 9%

  • Polymarket US recession market prices a 2026 recession at about 9% — Polymarket's market on whether the United States enters a recession in 2026 trades the Yes side near 9 cents, implying roughly a 9% chance. The contract resolves on two straight quarters of negative GDP or an NBER recession declaration. (RotoGrinders)

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