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Polymarket prices US recession by end of 2026 at 8.5 percent against 2.5 percent on Kalshi, PolymarketTrader reports
- Polymarket prices US recession by end of 2026 at 8.5 percent against 2.5 percent on Kalshi, PolymarketTrader reports — Polymarket prices a US recession by the end of 2026 at 8.5 percent, while Kalshi prices it at 2.5 percent, a gap of 6 points in prices checked on October 26. The rules differ, with Polymarket resolving on two negative GDP quarters or an NBER recession call and Kalshi counting only two consecutive negative GDP quarters. (PolymarketTrader)
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