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Polymarket prices US recession by end of 2026 at 8.0 percent against Kalshi at 3.5 percent, Polymarket Trader reports
- Polymarket prices US recession by end of 2026 at 8.0 percent against Kalshi at 3.5 percent, Polymarket Trader reports — Polymarket Trader, updated October 25, reported Polymarket prices a US recession by the end of 2026 at 8.0 percent and Kalshi at 3.5 percent, a 4.5 point gap on the Yes outcome. The page noted the rules differ, with Polymarket resolving Yes on two negative GDP quarters or an NBER recession call and Kalshi counting only two consecutive negative GDP quarters. (Polymarket Trader)
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