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Polymarket prices US-Iran ceasefire holding through the midterms at 88 percent, falling to 25 percent by December 31, TradingView reports

  • Polymarket prices US-Iran ceasefire holding through the midterms at 88 percent, falling to 25 percent by December 31, TradingView reports — Polymarket traders price an 88 percent chance that the US-Iran ceasefire continues through the November 3 midterms, with the odds falling to as low as 25 percent by December 31. The pricing followed Senator Chris Murphy's warning that President Trump could restart military action against Iran after the election. (TradingView)

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