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Polymarket prices US-Iran ceasefire holding through October 31 at 81.5 percent
- Polymarket prices US-Iran ceasefire holding through October 31 at 81.5 percent — A daily situation report tracking Polymarket geopolitical contracts puts a US-Iran ceasefire continuing through October 31 at 81.5 percent and an Israel-Iran ceasefire through October 21 at 93.5 percent, while traffic through the Strait of Hormuz returning to normal by October 31 sits at just 0.5 percent. The same snapshot prices Brazil's presidential runoff with Flavio Bolsonaro at 78.4 percent against Lula at 21.5 percent. (Huffman Writes SITREP)
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