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Polymarket prices a defined AI industry downturn by December 31 at 9.4 percent, TokenPost reports
- Polymarket prices a defined AI industry downturn by December 31 at 9.4 percent, TokenPost reports — Polymarket priced the chance of a defined AI industry downturn by December 31, 2026 at 9.4 percent late on October 21, with Yes at 9.4 cents and No at 90.6 cents on 2.49 million dollars in trading volume. The contract requires at least three of six triggers within the same 90-day window, including Nvidia falling 50 percent from its all-time high, the SOXX semiconductor ETF falling 40 percent, an OpenAI or Anthropic bankruptcy, or H100 rental prices at 1 dollar or less for five consecutive days. (TokenPost)
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