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Polymarket prices 28 of 38 Thiel-backed House picks as underdogs, Tensorust reports
- Polymarket prices 28 of 38 Thiel-backed House picks as underdogs, Tensorust reports — An analysis matching FEC records to Polymarket seat markets found Peter Thiel gave 3.21 million dollars to Republican committees in the 2026 cycle, and 28 of the 38 House campaigns matched to a live Polymarket market are priced under 50 percent. Polymarket odds imply about 11.6 expected wins across those 38 seats, with 20 of the picks priced under 20 percent. (Tensorust)
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